Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Irvine
Big West
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.6#98
Expected Predictive Rating+7.6#80
Pace67.7#238
Improvement-0.7#209

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#148
First Shot+1.5#130
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#203
Layup/Dunks+1.8#99
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#42
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#279
Freethrows-0.2#184
Improvement+2.5#62

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#61
First Shot+3.4#72
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#72
Layups/Dunks+6.3#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#321
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#164
Freethrows-0.3#193
Improvement-3.2#320
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2015 208   Loyola Marymount W 77-53 86%     1 - 0 +18.0 -2.7 +19.8
  Nov 18, 2015 173   @ Central Florida W 61-60 OT 63%     2 - 0 +3.2 -12.9 +16.1
  Nov 23, 2015 232   Santa Clara W 79-61 88%     3 - 0 +10.8 -3.0 +12.6
  Nov 26, 2015 94   Boise St. L 64-71 49%     3 - 1 -1.1 -5.1 +3.9
  Nov 27, 2015 206   Boston College W 80-67 79%     4 - 1 +10.1 +15.1 -4.2
  Nov 29, 2015 78   Evansville L 56-75 45%     4 - 2 -12.0 -10.9 -1.5
  Dec 04, 2015 218   @ Pacific W 70-67 72%     5 - 2 +2.4 +2.5 +0.1
  Dec 06, 2015 39   @ St. Mary's L 60-70 22%     5 - 3 +3.9 +2.4 -0.5
  Dec 12, 2015 133   @ Utah St. W 73-63 52%     6 - 3 +15.2 +5.9 +10.2
  Dec 15, 2015 10   @ Oregon L 63-78 10%     6 - 4 +4.9 -4.0 +9.3
  Dec 21, 2015 225   Sam Houston St. W 63-53 81%     7 - 4 +6.3 -7.2 +14.2
  Dec 22, 2015 241   Norfolk St. W 80-62 83%     8 - 4 +13.3 +0.5 +12.4
  Dec 29, 2015 1   @ Kansas L 53-78 5%     8 - 5 -0.8 -3.6 +0.5
  Jan 02, 2016 112   New Mexico St. W 54-52 68%     9 - 5 +2.7 -7.2 +10.2
  Jan 07, 2016 235   UC Davis W 76-55 88%     10 - 5 1 - 0 +13.6 +7.0 +7.1
  Jan 09, 2016 234   UC Riverside W 84-68 88%     11 - 5 2 - 0 +8.7 +8.4 +0.3
  Jan 14, 2016 108   @ Long Beach St. W 58-54 44%     12 - 5 3 - 0 +11.2 -13.3 +24.3
  Jan 16, 2016 104   @ UC Santa Barbara W 61-52 41%     13 - 5 4 - 0 +16.9 -1.6 +19.2
  Jan 20, 2016 268   Cal St. Fullerton W 72-59 91%     14 - 5 5 - 0 +3.6 -1.0 +5.5
  Jan 27, 2016 238   @ Cal St. Northridge W 73-63 76%     15 - 5 6 - 0 +8.3 -3.7 +11.4
  Jan 30, 2016 104   UC Santa Barbara L 60-76 64%     15 - 6 6 - 1 -14.0 -4.9 -10.5
  Feb 03, 2016 204   @ Cal Poly W 78-72 OT 70%     16 - 6 7 - 1 +6.1 -5.9 +11.3
  Feb 11, 2016 68   @ Hawaii L 52-74 30%     16 - 7 7 - 2 -10.9 -12.3 +0.6
  Feb 13, 2016 238   Cal St. Northridge W 93-84 89%     17 - 7 8 - 2 +1.5 -2.2 +1.7
  Feb 17, 2016 268   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 96-77 81%     18 - 7 9 - 2 +15.4 +23.8 -7.7
  Feb 20, 2016 68   Hawaii L 71-75 51%     18 - 8 9 - 3 +1.2 +3.9 -2.8
  Feb 24, 2016 108   Long Beach St. W 90-67 66%     19 - 8 10 - 3 +24.4 +19.1 +5.5
  Feb 27, 2016 235   @ UC Davis W 62-61 75%     20 - 8 11 - 3 -0.6 -3.2 +2.7
  Mar 03, 2016 204   Cal Poly W 72-62 85%     21 - 8 12 - 3 +4.3 -1.4 +6.4
  Mar 05, 2016 234   @ UC Riverside W 76-66 75%     22 - 8 13 - 3 +8.6 +3.9 +4.7
  Mar 10, 2016 204   Cal Poly W 84-64 79%     23 - 8 +17.2 +15.0 +4.1
  Mar 11, 2016 108   Long Beach St. L 72-77 55%     23 - 9 -0.7 -3.4 +3.1
Projected Record 23.0 - 9.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%